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Voter Intent Up For Liberal Party

February 26, 2018

The latest Campaign Research Poll conducted among a sample of 2,227 Canadian voters found that support for the Liberal Party was at 39%. Millennials are most inclined to support the Liberals (45%) along with those from Quebec and Atlantic Canada (49%, respectively). It appears that the Liberals continue to hold the same level of support that they received on election night in October 2015. Support for the Conservatives is also consistent with their October 2015 election result, with 32% of decided voters supporting them. The NDP are not performing well in terms of voter intent and continue to match their worst numbers from 2017 at 16%.

 

All three leaders have approximately an equal amount of voters who approve of their performance as those who disapprove. Trudeau’s job approval is 44%, while his disapproval rating is 42%. 14% of voters are unsure. Scheer’s job approval is 24%; his disapproval is 22%, and 54% are unsure. Singh’s job approval is 25%; while is disapproval rating is 20%, and 55% are unsure about him. There has been a significant change in the job approval/disapproval numbers for Justin Trudeau since the October 2015 election. These numbers show that his approval rating has decreased significantly, and his disapproval rating has increased over the last two years. Andrew Scheer and Jagmeet Singh are both relatively new and have yet to capture the hearts of Canadian voters with more than half of Canadians unsure about their performance.

 

“The Liberal government received significant negative attention with respect to multiple issues in 2017 and into 2018. While that has not really impacted their overall voter intent in any significant way, there are signs that Prime Minister Trudeau is losing some ground on his once very positive approval rating” – said Eli Yufest, CEO of Campaign Research Inc. Eli can be reached at eyufest@campaignresearch.ca or (647) 931-4025 ext. 109.

 

METHODOLOGY

 

This online poll was conducted by Campaign Research as part of its monthly omnibus study between February 8th to 10th 2018, The study was conducted among a random sample from an online panel of 2,227 Canadian voters whose incentives for participation were handled by the panel provider and who were selected to reflect Canada’s age, gender and regional distributions in line with 2016 Statistics Canada census data.

 

A probability sample of this size would have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1%, 19 out of 20 times. Data was weighted by age, gender and regions of Canada according to 2016 Statistics Canada census data. If you require more information, please contact us as it is available upon request.

 

The following screening question was asked in order to determine eligibility for participation in the study

"Are you 18 years of age or older and eligible to vote in federal elections?"

 

 

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